One in eight will have type 2 diabetes by 2045

Nearly a quarter of the world’s population will be obese by 2045, according to a new study.

If current trends continue, 22.4% of people globally will be classified as obese, up from 14% in 2017, while one in eight people will have type 2 diabetes, according to projections.

The researchers, from the United States, Denmark and the United Kingdom, warn that efforts to tackle obesity must be “dramatically stepped up” to stabilize the growing problem.

Their results will be presented at the European Congress on Obesity in Vienna, Austria.

Their projections, based on analysis of demographic data from a World Health Organization database, suggest that the prevalence of diabetes worldwide will increase from 9.1% to 11.7% by 2045. .

More than half (55%) of the U.S. population will be obese by 2045 if trends continue, the researchers said.

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Dr Alan Moses, from Novo Nordisk Research and Development in Denmark, who will present the study, said: “These figures highlight the staggering challenge the world will face in the future in terms of the number of people who are obese or have diabetes. type 2., or both.

“In addition to the medical challenges these people will face, the costs to countries’ health systems will be enormous.

“The global prevalence of obesity and diabetes is expected to increase dramatically unless obesity prevention is significantly stepped up.

“The development of effective global programs to reduce obesity offers the best opportunity to slow or stabilize the unsustainable prevalence of diabetes.”

The authors suggest that to prevent type 2 diabetes rates from exceeding 10% by 2045, obesity rates must drop from 14% to 10% during the same period.

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